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CNBC
Dec 11, 2012 3:00pm EST
that is the biggest problem facing us. either go over the cliff or come up with something with real solutions. >> rich peterson, let me get your take on earnings in 2013. we know the expectations on the economy if we go over the fiscal cliff, that the economy will see a contraction of a couple of percentage points. where are you on earnings for 2013, what are your expectations? >> maria, look at the s&p numbers, looking for a slow single digit percentage gains. for this period of the fourth quarter looking for gains in telecommunications and financials. i think the critical part, investors ought to be very keen just to weigh in the risk, you know, and the fact they had a very rewarding year in 2012, we were up about 12% on the s&p 500. earnings will be very much held captive by the fact that the uncertainty not only about the fiscal cliff but debt ceiling. >> very quickly, john, we're lose altitude in this market rapidly. what do you make of this, and what are you expecting to close here? >> just shows you how fragile our markets r.one comment out of washington can take profits off
CNBC
Dec 10, 2012 3:00pm EST
after today how to position your money ahead of what might or might not happen with the fiscal cliff deal. are we ready to go? let's find out how you should be investing. everybody's looking at me like i should not be saying something right now. okay. everybody's there. mandy? >> okay. joining us now we have a cast of thousands. dan mcmahon from raymond james. nathan backrat. and our very own rick santelli. thank you for joining us today. nathan, let's start with you. so 13 and a half trading days left. what do you do with those to make it worth it? >> y better have the right allocation to begin with. in the meantime guess what's gotten cheaper? europe. >> germany and france at two-week highs last week. >> there's a few countries over there. i like the relative value there. they've got a printing press. they're going to open that. what i learned is you don't fight the tape and don't fight a bailout. i've got about 30% off this country -- outside of this country. and added 10% in emerging markets. now i think that we've had a bloodless revolution again in china, i think it's a great place. look at emerging markets. better value while you wait around. >> and they've done well over the last year. it was just they've been th
CNBC
Dec 13, 2012 3:00pm EST
something, no? >> all the cuts that happened as a result of the fiscal cliff, all over the place. let's cut hundreds of billions in defense. it doesn't indicate what missions are going to be no longer what, programs we're going to kim. i mean, we really have to be stupid to be doing that. >> so irresponsible. >> not knowing where the cuts are hitting. >> right. >> for the security of this country. >> i agree. >> so, therefore, you're going to get some agreement. maybe it's january 5th, maybe it's december 30th, january 10th, but it will probably be a band-aid agreement. that's the problem. this isn't going to be one of these long-term deficit reduction, credible agreements that does tax reform, entitlement reform. >> that's for another day. >> that's for another day, so i don't think the markets are going to real that much, but i think it will prevent the fiscal cliff. >> always good to see you, larry. >> very good insights for next year. >> ten minutes before the closing pebble. a market that's low but well off the lows of the day. real comeback on the hools of the announcement that th
CNBC
Dec 6, 2012 3:00pm EST
cliff deal. he joins us exclusively later on "the closing bell." stay tuned. [ male announcer ] this december, remember -- ♪ you can stay in and like something... [ car alarm deactivates ] ♪ ...or you can get out there with your family and actually like something. ♪ the lexus december to remember sales event is on, offering some of our best values of the year. this is the pursuit of perfection. you won't just find us online, you'll also find us in person, with dedicated support teams at over 500 branches nationwide. so when you call or visit, you can ask for a name you know. because personal service starts with a real person. [ rodger ] at scottrade, seven dollar trades are just the start. our support teams are nearby, ready to help. it's no wonder so many investors are saying... i'm with scottrade. >>> one of the most bizarre man hunts in recent memory is coming to an end in central america, we think. wealth editor robert frank has the latest details on the arrest of john mcafee. >> yes, bill, it's coming to an ends. we just learned john mcafee has been taken to the hospital in guatemala. this follows news the former software tycoon was about to
FOX Business
Dec 10, 2012 3:00pm EST
our "countdown to the closing bell" with liz claman. liz: the fiscal cliff talk is everywhere, always good to be hearing about lately, but is there really something else that can be bubbling under the surface that could send the market into a tailspin that we should be talking about now? join me in a fox business exclusive, 2003 nobel laureate in economics and nyse will institute director. he has a whole institute for volatility. spotting risk. we thought let's bring you in and talk about noo the fiscal cliff of the three hidden risks people should be talking about but aren't. how did you identify them? >> there are lots of things people worry about, but which of the really big ones and what kind of a timefram time frame ae talking about? decade?out next week or next we talk about the big risk to have to look further in the future. liz: the next year or so? 20 years, 50 years perhaps. number three. you say it's all the unfunded pension liability risk globally, how is that a hidden risks? >> there are pension funds like social security which are not well funded in the future, that is one of the big topics of the fiscal cliff, but also pension funds o f
CNBC
Dec 6, 2012 4:00pm EST
anticipation of the fiscal cliff and beyond? >> i think ben is on to something in terms of the effectiveness of it. over the last few years, monetary policy was a catalyst to move money into the marke on a capital allocation basis. you saw the jolt in the market, then it plateaued. heading into next yeerar, monety policy becomes part of the base. the jolt is fiscal policy. a little transparency on that front. the big switch is on. i think they going to use more words than action. >> they've been using that very effectively. and it actually moves markets. just the language. >> he didn't buy one bond. he said three words and spanish and italian yields drops three basis points. >> what were the three words? >> whatever it takes. >> that's good. markets like whatever it takes, i guess. rick santelli, loeet's talk job. that's tomorrow. some noise in this report. early thanksgiving, hurricane sandy. is this rally at the end of the day having anything to do with any anticipation of the jobs report? what are you looking for? >> no, i don't think so. we're looking for almost exactly half. we had 171,
FOX Business
Dec 6, 2012 3:00pm EST
biggest trend since we talked is all these companies are fast tracking dividends to be the fiscal cliff clock. is that spurring people to get off of the sidelines and trade stocks? they see any change or trend? >> reality on something like that, and the entire market was well aware of where obama was headed and once he won the election it was a reaction in the market. the client base is difficult to make the right decision, you don't know what the facts are. will be a question later on. there has not been a lot of trading in dividend stocks and because of the reason for that, an overriding concern what is going on with the fiscal cliff. people waiting to find out what is going to happen. liz: from your perspective and you guys are among the biggest, you're not seeing people jumping in and saying these companies are paying out early dividends. >> as far as our client buying or selling, no. the rationale is simple. you don't know what the rate is going to be an don't know what your tax is going to be and if that is the reason you bought the stock to begin with it might make sense if it goes up 5%, won't makes sense if it goes up 30% so the client base is smart enough to recognize that. liz: td ameritrade added dividend of
FOX Business
Dec 12, 2012 3:00pm EST
street. wall street is very, very nervouu about the future even if we don't hit the fiscal cliff. wall street sort of fantasy would be to impose simpson-bowles. you do a radical change, close all the loopholes, that is probably not going to happen. we're lucky if we get some sort of a deal to get us beyond the fiscal cliff and budget cuts kick in. even take that out of it, they are just increasingly pessimistic about the future. tracy: you have dodd-frank coming, regulations for which you have to appear. >> morgan stanley is not cutting medicare, that is what happens with the fiscal cliff. liz: i think they took our comments from when citigroup led off people and said don't do that in december, we have to do it, and do it in november. >> he is a good guy. totally opposite, very rational, nice, smart guy. he does have a firm to run. and he has economic realities, giving you the economic realities of morgan stanley. i hear there could be cuts there as well. i don't think morgan stanley will go a deep as citigroup. i think they will do a little bit. we should also point out one othe
CNBC
Dec 7, 2012 4:00pm EST
how going over the fiscal cliff would impact the defense industry. >> well, the fiscal cliff would just be something that would be disastrous for defense. what you have are all these cuts of sequestration that are not tied to any national security plan or program. these would just be across the board with no plan involved. you have not only the major defense contractors but the entire supply chain involved. >> personalize it for us, dawn. what would it do specifically to your company? >> well, for us, we're a supplier not only to defense but also in the commercial markets, energy, and medical. it has already caused this uncertainty, roadw uncertainty, a reduction in the amount of work we're doing, and it's prevented us from hiring in some of our plants. >> you're holding back, then. you're holding back on hiring, waiting to see how this thing plays itself out. presuming they don't go over the cliff, they come to some agreement, does that mean you would hire more workers? >> right now it's very frustrating that we don't have issues decided here. so, yes, we have plants that can be ramping up to supply in
FOX Business
Dec 11, 2012 3:00pm EST
the fiscal cliff, that is obvious. everybody is sitting back and waiting to see if washington can actually get something done. if political agendas can get it aside and think about the devastation that probably occurred with the fiscal cliff. the spring selling season begins in late january. we have been the bright spot in the economy. our industry are creating jobs, we're coming back in the early stages of a recovery so the fiscal cliff january 1 would have a huge impact on the country, and impact on our business, and we have our fingers crossed and are very hopeful washington can get something done and we'll have to see. but if they don't, there is no question there will be a little bit of time until things settle down when the buyers will hit the sidelines. liz: will it derail the tentative recovery here? >> right now we are three weeks away from this fiscal cliff date and we're still selling houses. i don't think it derails it, but there could be a pause until things get worked out. liz: part of it is being discussed, and that is the possible elimination or at least the cutting of the mortgage interest r
FOX Business
Dec 5, 2012 3:00pm EST
. let me remind you. the meltdown that was sure to begin. my next guest says the fiscal cliff is simply y2k fear. joining me now is a chief investment officer. we have had other people talk about it similar to y2k. why do you feel that it is not something to worry about right now, from an investor standpoint. >> first, i think the deal is already settled in was settled a while back. everyone who has negotiated knows that is what goes on. from an investor point of view, i think you will find that the tax rates don't go crazy like everyone thinks. the dividend taxes, for example, you will have 23.5%. all of these captains of industries, what happens when it turned and looked around and say it really was not such a big thing. what will they do? will they go away from dividends and not have anything that has interest. liz: even with a potentially higher tax rate, you are still getting more than 1.6% or 1.7%. >> exactly. look at how many times in history we have had higher dividend taxes. the rate will hit around 20%. it could go as high as 36 or 39%. with that said, 200 companies, roughly, are accelerating their dividends. what has changed about your investment strategy? >> everyplace has to be done on the basis of what the company is doing.
CNBC
Dec 10, 2012 4:00pm EST
think the president takes his job seriously too. going over the fiscal cliff is not good for anyone. it bothers me sometimes if i hear people on both the left and the right entertain this is something that might be good politics. may be good politics for somebody, but it's bad economics for the american economy and more important for people looking for a job and people trying to hold on to a job. >> last question. i want to go back to the premise that you and other republican members of the house would be willing to allow that top tier tax rate to go higher. you know, speaker boehner's argument all this time is that it doesn't effect just those top-earning americans, but it also effects the small business owners in this country. the job creators in this country. >> the speaker's right about that. >> is that valid anymore? >> i'm not willing to -- i don't want to raise those. >> but you're willing to at least talk about it right now? >> they go up automatically. the sun's going to come up in the east tomorrow morning and set in the west. doesn't mean i had a darn thing to do with it coming up or coming down. we either act now to keep them from going up on as many people as possible or th
FOX Business
Dec 13, 2012 3:00pm EST
coming up again at the end of the year, people looking at the fiscal cliff situation and everyday we get something different coming out of washington today, disagreement. tomorrow it could be sounds like talks are progressing. we can see things slip around staying in this broad range across a series of markets and i think he will continue to see that until yo they get some kinf definitive answer and direction out of d.c. we will go from economic standpoint and getting money to work in the most efficient way. liz: good to see you gentlemen, thank you very much. never gets boring around here on fox business lackluster retail sales from the fed announcement yesterday turning on the stick is beginning next month painted the market red leaving me wondering if high investors, the smart money might be changing their investment strategy. we thought we would bring in, millions of dollars, they want to see the money grow. joining us in a fox business exclusive. you seem like a very measured person, that is why you have a lot of wealthy clients because you must do well for them. after the announcement they would once
CNBC
Dec 11, 2012 4:00pm EST
. >> thanks so much for joining us. you have said there's no painless solution to the fiscal cliff here. what do you think the best possible outcome could be? >> the best possible outcome as far as i can see is to take something like simpso/bowles that came out originally and get the issue resolved. i've never seen anything like this. >> you've been around a long time and seen lots of parties fight. >> they always come to go. the difference now is that -- not that there are more differences than unusual. if you go back, there's a lot of data that suggests this is not unusual. what is unusual is the republicans don't speak to the democrats and vice versa? back then, i mean, not that far. >> they went to dipper and went to lunch and discussed issues. >> when i was in the white house, tip o'neill and jerry ford used to be at each other's throat from 9:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m. at 6:00 p.m. tip would come over and have a bourbon with jerry, and it's remarkable how different it is today where -- >> how did it get so ugly? >> it's there owes different views people take fundamentally. if you live in a society you have fundamental beliefs in common our wouldn't do so. what i'm very uncomfortably observing is that the overlaps
CNBC
Dec 13, 2012 4:00pm EST
we go over a fiscal cliff doesn't that push them into action early january to do something? >> you're absolutely right. if we go off the cliff for even a few days the markets will have a fit, and i think that's probably enough to bring them back and figure this out fairly quickly. >> since you said the markets will have a fit, because i feel like the markets will have a fit if we don't have a deal by the end of next year. dan, what's your take on that? will we see a major selloff in stocks if there's no deal at the end of next week? >> i don't know if it's next week necessarily, but i can say more generally -- >> next week or the next week, right? we're 18 days away. >> certainly running out of time. >> right. >> i don't know if the selloff begins next week or the week after that, but i think certainly, you know, one thing that we can say is that tax rates are going up, and with respect to the capital gains tax rate we have two other instances in modern history in which the capital gains tax was increased, and in both snare quotes december in which it owe cured the capital gains tax r
Search Results 0 to 14 of about 15